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29 pips potential profit in 7 seconds on 7 December 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Jobless Claims data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 29 pips on US Jobless Claims data on 7 December 2023.

USDJPY (19 pips)

EURUSD (10 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

The latest release on Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims in the United States for the week ending December 2, 2023, indicates a slight increase in seasonally adjusted initial claims by 1,000, reaching 220,000. The 4-week moving average rose to 220,750. The insured unemployment rate decreased to 1.2%. Unadjusted data saw an increase in actual initial claims to 293,511, up 46.9% from the previous week. The unadjusted insured unemployment rate rose to 1.2%, and continued weeks claimed for benefits in all programs decreased to 1,579,159.

Noteworthy state-specific data reveals the highest insured unemployment rates in New Jersey, Alaska, California, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, Massachusetts, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, and Washington. Wisconsin experienced the largest increase in initial claims, while California saw the most significant decrease.

Federal civilian employees and newly discharged veterans claimed fewer benefits, with a decrease in both initial and continued weeks claimed. Overall, the report provides a comprehensive overview of unemployment trends at both national and state levels, including insights into specific demographic groups.

Source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

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36 pips potential profit in 130 seconds on 5 December 2023, analysis on futures forex fx news trading EURUSD and USDJPY on US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLT) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 36 pips on US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLT) data on 5 December 2023.

USDJPY (25 pips)

EURUSD (11 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Analyzing the October 2023 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Report: What the Numbers Reveal about the U.S. Labor Market

Introduction: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics recently released its Job Openings and Labor Turnover report for October 2023, providing valuable insights into the dynamics of the country's labor market. This comprehensive report covers key indicators such as job openings, hires, and separations, shedding light on trends that impact various industries and employment sectors.

Job Openings: A Closer Look: The report highlights that the number of job openings decreased to 8.7 million on the last business day of October, reflecting a decline of 617,000. This dip is particularly noteworthy, and the job openings rate, standing at 5.3 percent, decreased by 0.3 percentage points over the month and 1.1 points over the year.

The health care and social assistance, finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing sectors experienced declines in job openings. However, the information sector saw an increase of 39,000 job openings. This variance among sectors indicates the diverse landscape of employment opportunities in the U.S.

Hires and Separations: A Balanced Perspective: October 2023 saw relatively stable numbers in hires and total separations, with 5.9 million hires and 5.6 million total separations. The hires rate remained at 3.7 percent, demonstrating a steady pace in recruitment activities. Accommodation and food services, however, experienced a decrease in the number of hires by 110,000, suggesting a potential shift in this sector.

Total separations include quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. The quits rate, a measure of employees' willingness or ability to leave jobs, remained at 2.3 percent for the fourth consecutive month. Professional and business services saw an increase in quits by 97,000. Layoffs and discharges remained stable at 1.6 million, with no significant changes across industries.

Establishment Size Class: A Nuanced Perspective: The report breaks down the data by establishment size class, revealing interesting patterns. In October, job openings, hires, and total separations rates remained relatively stable for establishments with 1 to 9 employees. However, establishments with 5,000 or more employees saw a decrease in the quits rate and total separations rate, offering insights into the dynamics of larger enterprises.

Conclusion: The October 2023 Job Openings and Labor Turnover report provides a comprehensive snapshot of the U.S. labor market, showcasing both challenges and opportunities. The decline in job openings and shifts in hires across sectors indicate a dynamic environment. As we await the November 2023 estimates, policymakers, businesses, and job seekers can use this data to make informed decisions and navigate the evolving landscape of the U.S. labor market.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm

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Mastering News Trading: Strategies and Risks Explained (new video)

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Mastering News Trading: Strategies and Risks Explained (new video)

Follow our YouTube channel at https://www.youtube.com/@wearehaawks377 for more videos about trading.

Transcript:

Hello, traders and investors! Welcome back. I'm Angelina, and today, we're diving into the exciting world of news trading.

We'll explore what it is, how it works, and most importantly, whether it's a profitable strategy.

Section 1: Understanding News Trading

Before we get into the nitty-gritty, let's talk about what news trading is all about. News trading is a strategy where traders leverage breaking news to predict and profit from market movements. This can range from economic indicators and earnings reports to geopolitical events that shake up the financial landscape.

Section 2: The Dynamics of News Trading

So, how does news trading work, and why do traders find it so intriguing?

The idea is to anticipate how the market will react to news and position yourself to benefit from the ensuing price movements.

It's a game of speed and accuracy, requiring traders to act swiftly before the market stabilizes.

Section 3: Key Considerations for News Trading

Now, let's break down some crucial considerations for news trading. Firstly, news events often bring increased market volatility. This volatility can be an opportunity or a challenge, depending on how well you navigate it.

Section 4: The Role of Timing and Execution

Timing is everything in news trading. The faster you can act, the better your chances of success. Lucky for you, we provide one of the fastest machine-readable news feeds for macro-economic and commodity data.

Delayed execution, or slippage, can erode potential profits, emphasizing the need for quick and efficient order execution.

Section 5: Risk Management in News Trading

News trading is not without its risks, and effective risk management is paramount. Unexpected market reactions can lead to losses, so setting stop-loss orders and managing risk is essential to protect your capital.

Section 6: Profitability in News Trading

Now, the million-dollar question: Is news trading profitable?

Success in news trading depends on accurate predictions, swift execution, and robust risk management. Experienced traders with a deep understanding of market dynamics may find profitability, but it's not without challenges.

Conclusion: News Trading Unveiled

That's a wrap on news trading! Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, understanding the dynamics of news trading is crucial.

Share your thoughts in the comments below, hit the like button if you found this video valuable, and don't forget to subscribe to our free news trading analysis at www.haawks.com. You find the link in the description.Until next time, happy trading!

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US economic and commodity data and economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey and ECB interest rates and statement.

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2074 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 11 events in November 2023 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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2074 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 11 events in November 2023 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 2074 pips / ticks profit out of the following 11 events in November 2023. The potential performance in 2022 was 9,269 pips / ticks.

November 2023

Cumulative potential, indicative performance November 2023, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 23 minutes! (preparation time not included)

Navigating the Financial Seas: A November 2023 Recap of Key Economic Events

As we sail through the complex waters of the global economy, it becomes crucial for investors and traders to keep a vigilant eye on various economic indicators and events that can significantly impact financial markets. November 2023 has been a month filled with notable events and releases that have stirred the tides of the financial world. In this monthly analysis, we'll recap some of the key economic events and their market reactions that have shaped the landscape of November.

  1. US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLT) - November 1, 2023: The month kicked off with insights into the labor market through the JOLT survey. The market responded with 8 pips and 43 points, reflecting the importance of understanding job openings, hires, and separations in assessing economic health.

  2. US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) - November 3, 2023: A critical indicator, non-farm payrolls, revealed the pulse of the job market. The market reacted strongly with 58 pips and 83 points, underscoring the significance of employment data in shaping investor sentiment.

  3. USDA WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) - November 9, 2023: The agricultural sector played a role with the USDA's WASDE report, influencing commodity prices with a market reaction of 76 ticks. Investors keenly observed the global agricultural supply and demand dynamics.

  4. University Michigan Consumer Sentiment / Inflation Expectations - November 10, 2023: Consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, reflecting the mood of consumers, stirred the market with a modest 6 pips and 26 points. These indicators provide valuable insights into the future economic outlook.

  5. US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) - November 14, 2023: Inflation concerns took center stage with the release of the Consumer Price Index, causing a notable market reaction of 58 pips and 222 points. Inflation data is closely watched as it can impact monetary policy and investor decisions.

  6. US Producer Price Index (PPI) and US Retail Sales - November 15, 2023: The Producer Price Index and Retail Sales numbers, both crucial for understanding economic activity, prompted a market reaction of 76 pips and 66 points. These indicators provide insights into manufacturing and consumer spending.

  7. US Jobless Claims - November 16, 2023: Jobless claims, indicating the health of the labor market, influenced the market with a reaction of 17 pips. As a leading indicator of economic health, jobless claims are closely monitored for signs of economic strength or weakness.

  8. DOE Natural Gas Storage Report - November 16, 2023: The energy sector came into focus with the DOE Natural Gas Storage Report, causing a market reaction of 57 ticks. Energy reports can have a significant impact on commodity prices and related industries.

  9. US Durable Goods Orders - November 22, 2023: Durable goods orders, reflecting manufacturing activity, prompted a market reaction of 24 pips. This indicator provides insights into the demand for long-lasting goods, a key component of economic growth.

  10. University Michigan Consumer Sentiment / Inflation Expectations (Second Release) - November 22, 2023: A second release of consumer sentiment and inflation expectations maintained market interest with a reaction of 26 pips.

  11. Turkey Interest Rate Decision (TCMB) - November 23, 2023: The month concluded with a seismic market reaction of 1668 pips as the Central Bank of Turkey announced its interest rate decision. Global investors closely monitored this event, recognizing its potential to impact not only the Turkish Lira but also global markets.

November 2023 has been a month of ebbs and flows in the financial markets, driven by a diverse array of economic indicators and events. As we look ahead, it is essential for investors and traders to stay informed, adapt to evolving market conditions, and navigate the seas of uncertainty with a strategic approach. The lessons learned from November's economic events will undoubtedly shape investment strategies in the months to come.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US economic and commodity data and economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

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1668 pips potential profit in 10 seconds on 23 November 2023, analysis on forex fx news trading USDTRY first on Turkey interest rate decision data

According to our analysis USDTRY moved 1668 pips on Turkey interest rate decision (TCMB) data on 23 November 2023.

USDTRY (1668 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Navigating Economic Tides: A Closer Look at Turkey's Monetary Policy Decision and Exchange Rate Movement

November 23, 2023

In a decisive move, the Monetary Policy Committee of Turkey recently announced a significant adjustment to the policy rate, sending ripples through financial markets and impacting the USD/TRY exchange rate. Here's a closer look at the key developments and factors shaping Turkey's economic landscape.

Monetary Policy Committee's Decision: Raising the Policy Rate

Led by Governor Hafize Gaye Erkan, the Committee decided to raise the policy rate, specifically the one-week repo auction rate, from 35 percent to 40 percent. This move, though not unexpected, marked a departure from the initially anticipated rate of 37.5 percent.

Inflation Dynamics and Domestic Demand: A Balancing Act

The decision was grounded in a careful evaluation of various economic indicators. Headline inflation experienced a marginal decrease in October, aligning with the projections outlined in the recent Inflation Report. However, persistent inflation pressures emanating from the existing level of domestic demand, stickiness in services inflation, and geopolitical risks necessitated a continued focus on monetary tightening.

Exchange Rate Dynamics: USD/TRY Movement

Following the Committee's decision, the USD/TRY exchange rate exhibited a significant downward movement of 1668 pips. This movement can be attributed to several factors, including the widening interest rate differential between the Turkish lira and the US dollar and shifts in market sentiment.

Committee's Outlook: Sustaining Price Stability

The Committee emphasized that the current level of monetary tightness is approaching the necessary threshold for establishing a disinflation course. While the pace of monetary tightening is expected to decelerate, the commitment to maintaining tightness remains steadfast to ensure sustained price stability.

Market Mechanisms and Financial Stability: Strengthening Foundations

Efforts to simplify and enhance the micro- and macroprudential framework continue to strengthen market mechanisms and bolster macro financial stability. Regulatory measures aimed at increasing the share of Turkish lira deposits and ongoing monetary tightening are anticipated to fortify the transmission mechanism and improve the funding composition of the banking system.

Looking Ahead: A Transparent and Predictable Approach

The Committee affirms its commitment to a transparent, data-driven, and predictable framework for decision-making. The communication approach emphasizes ongoing monitoring of inflation indicators and underlying trends, with a commitment to using all available tools to achieve the primary objective of price stability.

Conclusion: Navigating Uncertainties with Strategic Moves

As Turkey navigates through economic uncertainties, the recent monetary policy decision and the subsequent exchange rate movement reflect strategic moves to address inflationary pressures and enhance financial stability. The coming days will see the effects of these decisions unfold, with the Committee poised to adapt to evolving economic dynamics.

Source: https://tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/7e715cde-e17c-412d-8f09-8009ebf2af83/ANO2023-45.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=ROOTWORKSPACE-7e715cde-e17c-412d-8f09-8009ebf2af83-oLXRzbf

Start forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US and European economic and commodity data.

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26 pips potential profit in 69 seconds on 22 November 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading EURUSD and USDJPY on University Michigan Consumer Sentiment data

According to our analysis EURUSD and USDJPY moved 26 pips on University Michigan Consumer Sentiment / Inflation Expectations data on 22 November 2023.

EURUSD (10 pips)

USDJPY (16 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Navigating Economic Crosswinds: Consumer Sentiment Update for November 2023

Introduction: In our latest consumer sentiment update for November 2023, we observe a nuanced landscape as the index experiences its fourth consecutive month of decline. This month's 2.5 index point drop, or 4% decrease, reveals a delicate balance of both positive and negative factors influencing consumer perceptions.

Key Points:

  1. Mixed Economic Conditions:

    • While consumer sentiment declined, there were improvements in current economic conditions and personal finance expectations.

    • Expectations of business conditions, especially in the long run, took a notable hit, plunging by 15% to its lowest since July 2022.

  2. Age Group Dynamics:

    • Younger and middle-aged consumers showed a significant decline in economic attitudes.

    • Sentiment among those aged 55 and older improved from October, showcasing a diverse range of perspectives.

  3. Inflation Concerns:

    • Year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 4.5%, indicating heightened concerns compared to October's 4.2%.

    • Long-run inflation expectations reached 3.2%, the highest since 2011, despite the observed slowdown in inflation. Consumers express worries about a potential reversal in the coming months and years.

  4. Director's Insight:

    • Joanne Hsu, Surveys of Consumers Director, notes the delicate interplay of factors contributing to the sentiment decline. She highlights the juxtaposition of improved personal financial expectations against concerns about long-term business conditions.

Conclusion: As we navigate the economic crosswinds of November 2023, the consumer sentiment report provides valuable insights. While some indicators point towards optimism, the cautionary notes, especially regarding inflation and long-term business conditions, underscore the complexity of the economic landscape. Keeping an eye on future releases will be crucial for understanding how these dynamics continue to evolve. Stay tuned for our next update on Friday, December 8, 2023, as we delve into the preliminary December data and continue to decode the pulse of consumer sentiment.

Source: http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu

Start futures and forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data, one of the fastest machine-readable news trading feeds for US economic and commodity data.

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24 pips potential profit in 42 seconds on 22 November 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Durable Goods Orders data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 24 pips on US Durable Goods Orders data on 22 November 2023.

USDJPY (15 pips)

EURUSD (9 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

In October 2023, new orders for manufactured durable goods in the United States decreased by $16.0 billion or 5.4 percent to $279.4 billion, marking the third decline in the last four months. This followed a 4.0 percent increase in September. Excluding transportation, new orders remained relatively unchanged, while excluding defense, new orders decreased by 6.7 percent. The decline was driven by the transportation equipment sector, which saw a significant drop of $16.0 billion or 14.8 percent to $92.1 billion. The U.S. Census Bureau will continue to monitor and report on durable goods manufacturing trends.

Source: https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html

Start futures forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data, one of the fastest machine-readable news trading feeds for US economic and commodity data.

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57 ticks potential profit in 42 seconds on 16 November 2023, analysis on futures forex fx news trading natural gas on DOE Natural Gas Storage Report data

According to our analysis natural gas moved 57 ticks on DOE Natural Gas Storage Report data on 16 November 2023.

Natural gas (57 ticks)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

The Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report provides information on the current status of natural gas storage in the United States. Here's a summary of the key data for the week ending November 10, 2023:

Working Gas in Underground Storage:

  • Total working gas in storage: 3,833 billion cubic feet (Bcf)

  • Net change from the previous week: +60 Bcf (an increase)

  • Working gas stocks compared to last year: +198 Bcf

  • Working gas stocks compared to the five-year average: +203 Bcf

Regional Breakdown:

  1. East Region:

    • Working gas stocks: 931 Bcf

    • Net change: +7 Bcf

    • Compared to last year: +51 Bcf

    • Compared to the five-year average: +34 Bcf

  2. Midwest Region:

    • Working gas stocks: 1,116 Bcf

    • Net change: +11 Bcf

    • Compared to last year: +34 Bcf

    • Compared to the five-year average: +34 Bcf

  3. Mountain Region:

    • Working gas stocks: 256 Bcf

    • Net change: +3 Bcf

    • Compared to last year: +48 Bcf

    • Compared to the five-year average: +46 Bcf

  4. Pacific Region:

    • Working gas stocks: 292 Bcf

    • Net change: +8 Bcf

    • Compared to last year: +50 Bcf

    • Compared to the five-year average: +16 Bcf

  5. South Central Region:

    • Working gas stocks: 1,238 Bcf

    • Net change: +32 Bcf

    • Compared to last year: +65 Bcf

    • Compared to the five-year average: +65 Bcf

    • Salt Caverns: 332 Bcf (+19 Bcf)

    • Nonsalt Facilities: 906 Bcf (+13 Bcf)

Summary:

  • Total working gas in storage is within the five-year historical range.

  • The overall increase in working gas compared to the previous week was 60 Bcf.

  • Stocks are higher than both last year and the five-year average by 198 Bcf and 203 Bcf, respectively.

It's worth noting that the data is subject to independent rounding, and totals may not equal the sum of components. The next release of the Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report is scheduled for November 22, 2023.

Source: https://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html

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17 pips potential profit in 42 seconds on 16 November 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Jobless Claims data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 17 pips on US Jobless Claims data on 16 November 2023.

USDJPY (12 pips)

EURUSD (5 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

In the week ending November 11, 2023, the United States saw a rise in both seasonally adjusted and unadjusted initial unemployment claims. The seasonally adjusted figure reached 231,000, reflecting a notable increase of 13,000 from the previous week, with a 4-week moving average of 220,250. The unadjusted data reported 215,874 actual initial claims, marking a week-to-week increase of 0.8 percent. Despite seasonal expectations for a decrease, the figures demonstrate a rise.

The insured unemployment rate also showed an increase, reaching 1.3 percent, a 0.1 percentage point uptick from the previous week. The number of insured unemployed individuals rose to 1,865,000, marking the highest level since November 27, 2021. The unadjusted insured unemployment rate remained at 1.1 percent, with 1,581,345 individuals claiming benefits, a decrease of 1.6 percent from the preceding week.

Source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

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76 pips and 66 points potential profit in 518 seconds on 15 November 2023, analysis on futures forex fx news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and US30 on US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 76 pips and US30 moved 66 points on US Producer Price Index (PPI) and US Retail Sales data on 15 November 2023.

USDJPY (54 pips)

EURUSD (22 pips)

US30 (66 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Decoding Economic Metrics: PPI and Retail Sales Analysis

Introduction:

In the intricate realm of economic data, the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales serve as critical gauges, offering nuanced insights into inflationary pressures and consumer behavior. In this analytical discourse, we delve into the latest iterations of these indicators—October 2023's PPI and Retail Sales—unveiling the underlying economic narratives and the potential implications for financial markets.

Producer Price Index (PPI) Insights:

The PPI for final demand witnessed a notable contraction of 0.5 percent in October 2023, marking the most substantial downturn since April 2020. The catalyst behind this descent was a pronounced 6.5 percent decline in the index for final demand energy, indicating a substantial recalibration in energy-related price dynamics.

On an annualized basis, the unadjusted PPI for final demand posted a modest 1.3 percent increase, while the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services exhibited a more robust 2.9 percent ascent. This exclusionary measure provides a clearer lens into core price movements, discounting the volatility introduced by food, energy, and trade services.

PPI's Market Implications:

The market's response to PPI nuances can be discerned through shifts in expectations around inflation. A decline in the PPI may trigger reassessments of inflationary pressures, potentially influencing central banks in their policy deliberations. Investors, attuned to these shifts, may recalibrate their portfolios in response to evolving economic projections.

Retail Sales: Deciphering Consumer Sentiment:

October 2023's retail and food services sales registered a marginal 0.1 percent contraction from the preceding month, totaling $705.0 billion. However, a more sanguine narrative emerges from the 2.5 percent year-over-year uptick, reflecting the resilience of consumer spending in the face of economic flux.

While retail trade sales retreated by 0.2 percent from September, they advanced by 1.6 percent compared to the previous year. Noteworthy is the commendable 7.6 percent surge in nonstore retailers, underscoring the continued prominence of e-commerce in shaping retail landscapes.

Interpreting Retail Sales in the Market Context:

Retail sales data holds a mirror to consumer confidence and economic vitality. A contraction in retail sales may evoke concerns about the durability of economic growth, impacting sectors tethered to consumer demand. Conversely, an upward trajectory in retail sales figures may inject optimism into investor sentiments.

Synthesis: Market Response to PPI and Retail Sales:

The market's immediate reaction manifested in currency and stock markets. The USD/JPY pair appreciated by 54 pips, signaling a favorable outlook for the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. Conversely, the EUR/USD pair depreciated by 22 pips, portraying a reduction in the Euro's value against the US Dollar. The US30, representative of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, declined by 66 points, suggestive of a potentially cautious or pessimistic sentiment within equity markets.

Conclusion:

In the intricate choreography of economic indicators, the PPI and Retail Sales are pivotal performers, dictating market rhythms and investor sentiments. This nuanced analysis underscores the importance of these metrics in navigating the complex terrain of economic landscapes, offering stakeholders a compass to steer through the intricacies of global financial dynamics.

Source: https://www.census.gov/retail/sales.html, https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Start futures forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

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