Viewing entries tagged
NFP

Comment

35 pips and 210 points potential profit in 80 seconds on 10 January 2025, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and US30 on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY, EURUSD and US30 moved around 35 pips and 210 points on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 10 January 2025.

USDJPY (19 pips)

EURUSD (16 pips)

US30 (210 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

December 2024 Employment Report: Key Takeaways for Traders

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its December 2024 Employment Situation Report today, revealing a mixed but largely positive labor market. Here’s what traders need to know and how the data could influence markets in the near term.

Key Highlights of the Report

  • Nonfarm Payroll Growth:
    Nonfarm payrolls increased by 256,000, beating market expectations. Gains were led by health care, government, social assistance, and retail trade.

  • Unemployment Rate:
    The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, indicating a resilient labor market despite concerns of potential softening.

  • Wage Growth:
    Average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% month-over-month (+10 cents), bringing the annual wage growth to 3.9% year-over-year.

  • Labor Force Participation Rate:
    Unchanged at 62.5%, maintaining the same range seen throughout 2024.

Market Implications

1. Equity Markets:

  • Bullish Signal: The robust payroll growth could support cyclical sectors like retail, health care, and consumer discretionary.

  • Earnings Potential: With strong wage gains and improved retail hiring, markets may see positive sentiment heading into Q1 earnings season.

  • Caveat: If wage growth accelerates beyond expectations in future reports, it could reignite inflation fears.

2. Bond Markets:

  • The steady unemployment rate and solid job gains could increase the likelihood of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady. However, continued strength may push yields higher if investors price in a more hawkish Fed stance.

3. Forex Market:

  • The U.S. dollar may strengthen in response to better-than-expected job numbers, as it reinforces confidence in the U.S. economy.

  • Watch for USD pairs, particularly with currencies of economies that are experiencing slower labor market recoveries.

Sector Breakdown for December 2024

  • Health Care (+46,000 jobs): Gains were seen across home health care services (+15,000), nursing care facilities (+14,000), and hospitals (+12,000). This continued sector strength may benefit health care ETFs and equities.

  • Retail Trade (+43,000 jobs): A recovery from November’s losses was driven by increases in apparel, general merchandise, and health and personal care stores. Retail-focused traders may view this as a sign of resilient consumer demand.

  • Government (+33,000 jobs): Job gains, primarily in state government roles, continued a positive trend, though at a slower pace than in 2023.

  • Social Assistance (+23,000 jobs): Continued steady growth here supports the broader theme of demand for care services.

Wage and Workweek Trends

  • Average Hourly Earnings: Up $0.10 to $35.69 (+3.9% YoY).

  • Production and Nonsupervisory Workers: Wages increased by $0.06 to $30.62, signaling continued earnings momentum for middle-income workers.

However, the average workweek remained at 34.3 hours, unchanged for the fifth consecutive month, indicating stable labor utilization across sectors.

Revisions and Seasonal Adjustments

The revisions for October and November combined resulted in a net downward adjustment of 8,000 jobs. Traders should take note of these recalibrations, which may indicate some volatility in reporting but largely point to a stable employment trend.

Key Risks to Watch

  • Fed Policy: Traders should monitor any commentary from Federal Reserve officials, as this report keeps the door open for either policy stability or future tightening if wage pressures persist.

  • Economic Slowdown Concerns: While the labor market remains strong, longer-term concerns about a potential slowdown in consumer spending or corporate hiring could affect future payroll reports.

  • Global Market Sentiment: The forex and commodity markets could be impacted by how global investors interpret the U.S. labor market’s strength relative to international economic conditions.

Conclusion

The December 2024 employment report reinforces the narrative of a robust U.S. labor market with healthy job creation, stable unemployment, and moderate wage growth. Traders should position themselves for potential equity market gains in cyclical sectors while keeping a close eye on bond yields and the Federal Reserve's evolving stance. The next employment report, scheduled for February 7, 2025, will provide further clues as to whether this momentum can continue into the new year.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment

Comment

37 pips potential profit in 8 seconds on 6 December 2024, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 37 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 6 December 2024.

USDJPY (28 pips)

EURUSD (9 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

November 2024 U.S. Employment Report: Key Takeaways and Insights

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its November 2024 Employment Situation Report, highlighting continued growth in the labor market with some mixed signals. Here’s what you need to know:

Job Growth Surges, Led by Health Care and Leisure Industries

Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 227,000 in November, marking a strong rebound from the previous month's modest gain of 36,000. This growth surpasses the 12-month average increase of 186,000, signaling resilience despite broader economic uncertainties. Key contributors included:

  • Health Care (+54,000): Growth was driven by ambulatory health care services (+22,000), home health care (+16,000), hospitals (+19,000), and nursing care facilities (+12,000).

  • Leisure and Hospitality (+53,000): Food services and drinking places added the bulk of these jobs (+29,000), reflecting ongoing recovery in service-related industries.

  • Government (+33,000): Gains were concentrated in state government employment (+20,000).

  • Transportation Equipment Manufacturing (+32,000): The return of workers following strike actions fueled this sector’s rebound.

Unemployment Rate Holds Steady, but Challenges Persist

The unemployment rate remained relatively stable at 4.2%, up from 3.7% a year earlier. There are now 7.1 million unemployed Americans, reflecting ongoing challenges in the labor market recovery. Notable trends include:

  • Long-term Unemployment: This group, defined as those jobless for 27 weeks or more, remains elevated at 1.7 million, making up 23.2% of total unemployed.

  • Demographic Insights: Unemployment edged up for Black workers to 6.4%, while other major groups, including Whites (3.8%), Asians (3.8%), and Hispanics (5.3%), showed little change.

Labor Force and Participation Trends

The labor force participation rate was unchanged at 62.5%, maintaining a narrow range since late 2023. However, the employment-population ratio declined by 0.6 percentage points over the past year, landing at 59.8%. These metrics suggest some stagnation in workforce engagement.

Retail Trade Slumps as Seasonal Hiring Falters

Retail trade lost 28,000 jobs in November, marking a significant divergence from other industries. Losses were particularly sharp in general merchandise retailers (-15,000), though electronics and appliance retailers posted modest gains (+4,000). This decline could reflect shifting consumer patterns and cautious hiring ahead of the holiday season.

Earnings and Work Hours Tick Up

Wage growth continued at a steady pace, with average hourly earnings increasing by 0.4% to $35.61. Over the past year, wages have risen by 4.0%, providing some relief against inflationary pressures. The average workweek for private nonfarm employees edged up to 34.3 hours, a positive indicator of labor demand.

Upward Revisions Reflect Stronger Momentum

Revised data for September and October show that employment gains were 56,000 higher than previously reported. September’s total was adjusted up to 255,000, and October’s figure increased to 36,000.

What It All Means

November’s employment report paints a picture of a labor market balancing growth with persistent challenges:

  • Encouraging Sectors: Health care, leisure, and government sectors are driving job creation, reflecting the continued demand for essential services.

  • Emerging Concerns: Retail trade losses and elevated long-term unemployment suggest pockets of weakness that merit attention.

  • Stable Wages: The steady rise in wages is a positive for workers, though it remains to be seen if this can keep pace with inflation and higher living costs.

As we close out 2024, the labor market appears robust but not without its vulnerabilities. Policymakers, businesses, and job seekers will be closely watching December’s report, due on January 10, 2025, to gauge the economy’s trajectory into the new year.

Stay tuned for more updates on labor market trends and insights!

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment

Comment

126 pips potential profit in 52 seconds on 4 October 2024, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 126 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 4 October 2024.

USDJPY (93 pips)

EURUSD (33 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

September 2024 Employment Report: Key Highlights and Insights

The U.S. job market continued to show resilience in September 2024, with total nonfarm payroll employment increasing by 254,000 jobs. This growth marks a stronger-than-average monthly gain, outpacing the 203,000 average of the past 12 months. The unemployment rate, however, held steady at 4.1%, reflecting a relatively stable labor market despite ongoing economic pressures and a significant weather event.

Noteworthy Sectors Leading Job Growth

Several key industries contributed to September's employment gains:

  1. Food Services and Drinking Places: This sector saw a remarkable increase of 69,000 jobs, a substantial jump compared to its prior 12-month average of 14,000 jobs per month. This may suggest a resurgence in consumer spending on dining out, possibly influenced by seasonal factors or recovering demand following earlier economic fluctuations.

  2. Health Care: Adding 45,000 jobs, this sector experienced slightly slower growth than its recent monthly average of 57,000. Key areas of hiring included:

    • Home health care services (+13,000)

    • Hospitals (+12,000)

    • Nursing and residential care facilities (+9,000)

  3. Government: Employment in the public sector grew by 31,000, driven largely by gains in local (+16,000) and state (+13,000) government jobs. While this is positive, it remains below the prior 12-month average gain of 45,000.

  4. Social Assistance: Adding 27,000 jobs, this sector's growth was focused primarily on individual and family services (+21,000). This reflects the growing need for support services in communities, highlighting social and demographic changes driving demand.

  5. Construction: Employment rose by 25,000 jobs, continuing a steady trend of growth in the industry, fueled largely by nonresidential specialty trade contractors (+17,000). This aligns with broader infrastructure development efforts across the country.

Stable Sectors and Broader Labor Trends

While certain industries showed significant gains, others remained stable with little change in employment. These include mining, manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, transportation and warehousing, information, and professional and business services.

Despite the steady job creation, unemployment held at 4.1%, equating to about 6.8 million unemployed individuals. This is higher than a year ago when the jobless rate was 3.8%, and the number of unemployed people was 6.3 million. The number of long-term unemployed, those out of work for 27 weeks or more, remained at 1.6 million, representing 23.7% of all unemployed individuals.

Moreover, the labor force participation rate remained unchanged at 62.7%, a sign that the overall percentage of Americans either working or actively looking for work has stabilized, though it remains below pre-pandemic levels.

Economic Indicators Beyond Job Creation

Several additional data points from the report shed light on broader labor market dynamics:

  • Wages: The average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 13 cents, or 0.4%, reaching $35.36. Year over year, wages have risen by 4.0%, indicating that wages are keeping pace with inflationary pressures.

  • Workweek: The average workweek for all private-sector employees edged down slightly to 34.2 hours, while the manufacturing workweek remained steady at 40.0 hours.

Impact of Hurricane Francine

Hurricane Francine, which made landfall in southern Louisiana on September 11, had no discernible effect on national payroll employment, hours, or earnings, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Despite the storm's impact on local areas, national survey response rates remained within normal ranges, suggesting limited disruption at the national level. However, it will be important to monitor the October and November reports for any delayed effects in the regional labor markets most affected by the hurricane.

Revisions to Prior Data

The BLS also revised upward the employment changes for July and August by a combined 72,000 jobs. This upward revision highlights the challenges of gathering accurate, timely data, especially in the midst of economic uncertainty, but also reinforces the underlying strength of the job market over the summer months.

Looking Ahead

As we move toward the end of 2024, the labor market continues to exhibit signs of stability, though potential challenges remain. Rising interest rates, inflationary pressures, and external factors like extreme weather events could still influence employment trends in the coming months. The upcoming October 2024 employment report will provide further insights into how the job market is evolving and whether the current trajectory of growth can be sustained through the end of the year.

In the meantime, this month's report offers encouraging news for several key industries, particularly in service sectors like food, health care, and social assistance. Despite some broader economic concerns, the U.S. labor market remains on a solid footing.

Stay tuned for the next report on November 1, 2024, for the latest updates and analysis on the nation's employment situation.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment

Comment

90 pips potential profit in 51 seconds on 2 August 2024, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 90 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 2 August 2024.

USDJPY (73 pips)

EURUSD (17 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Navigating Through the Tides: U.S. Employment Situation in July 2024

In the ever-evolving landscape of the U.S. labor market, July 2024 presented a nuanced picture of growth and challenges, as detailed in the latest release from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The month saw the unemployment rate nudge up to 4.3 percent, alongside modest job growth, indicating both resilience and areas of concern in the economy. Here’s an in-depth look at the dynamics shaping the employment situation.

The Rise in Unemployment

July's slight uptick in unemployment to 4.3 percent, up from 4.1 percent in June, resulted in 352,000 more individuals being classified as unemployed. This increase in unemployment rates, especially notable among adult men and White populations, paints a picture of an economy that is still recalibrating post-pandemic and other macroeconomic pressures. This rate is significantly higher compared to last year's 3.5 percent, suggesting a slow but uncertain recovery path.

Sector-Specific Insights

The payroll data offers a glimpse into where the growth is happening and which sectors are lagging:

  • Health Care: This sector added 55,000 jobs, maintaining a robust growth pattern, particularly in home health care services and hospitals. This is indicative of ongoing demand in the health services industry.

  • Construction and Transportation: Both sectors continued to show resilience with steady job additions, which align with broader economic activities and infrastructural developments.

  • Information Sector: In contrast, the information sector shed 20,000 jobs, highlighting the volatility in tech and media industries amidst shifting business models and technological disruptions.

Part-Time Work and Economic Reasons

An interesting facet of the July report is the rise in individuals working part-time for economic reasons, which jumped by 346,000 to 4.6 million. This increase suggests that while jobs are available, they may not fully meet the needs or qualifications of job seekers, or that businesses are hesitating to commit to full-time hires amid economic uncertainties.

Labor Force Dynamics

The labor force participation rate stood unchanged at 62.7 percent, and the employment-population ratio also held steady. However, the number of people not in the labor force but wanting a job increased notably by 366,000, reaching 5.6 million. These figures underscore a complex scenario where many are on the sidelines of the job market, possibly due to mismatches in job opportunities or other barriers to employment.

Earnings and Work Hours

Average hourly earnings saw a modest increase, suggesting mild wage pressures. The average workweek decreased slightly, which might reflect adjustments in business operations or shifts in employment from full-time to part-time roles.

Forward Look

The modest job growth and the rise in unemployment rate in July serve as a reminder of the fragile balance in the labor market. As businesses navigate through economic headwinds and policy changes, the coming months will be crucial in shaping the trajectory of recovery and growth.

As we look towards the August report, due to be released in early September, stakeholders from policymakers to investors, and everyday citizens will be keen on understanding whether these trends are a temporary blip or a sign of more profound shifts in the U.S. economy.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment

Comment

58 pips potential profit in 39 seconds on 7 June 2024, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 58 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 7 June 2024.

USDJPY (38 pips)

EURUSD (20 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Analyzing the May 2024 U.S. Employment Report: Trends and Implications

The latest Employment Situation Summary released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics provides an insightful glimpse into the current state of the nation's job market as of May 2024. A robust addition of 272,000 jobs indicates continuing growth across multiple sectors, maintaining a stable unemployment rate of 4.0 percent. This post delves into the details of the report, highlighting key trends and what they might mean for the economy and job seekers.

Key Highlights from the May 2024 Report

  • Continued Growth in Key Sectors: The health care, government, leisure and hospitality, and professional, scientific, and technical services sectors led job additions for the month. Notably, health care saw an addition of 68,000 jobs, aligning with its average monthly gain, signaling ongoing robust demand in this sector.

  • Stable Unemployment Rates: The unemployment rate held steady at 4.0 percent, with little change across major worker groups. Adult men and women posted unemployment rates of 3.8 percent and 3.4 percent respectively, while the unemployment rate for teenagers was significantly higher at 12.3 percent.

  • Part-Time and Marginal Attachments: Approximately 4.4 million individuals were employed part-time for economic reasons, unchanged from the previous month. Additionally, 1.5 million people were marginally attached to the labor force, including 462,000 discouraged workers who believe no jobs are available for them.

Economic Trends and Labor Market Dynamics

The stability in unemployment rates combined with significant job growth in sectors like health care and technical services suggests a maturing recovery phase as the economy rebounds from previous disruptions. The consistency in sectors like health care underscores the critical demand for healthcare services, possibly driven by an aging population and greater health consciousness post-pandemic.

Government job increases also reflect ongoing public sector investments, which often provide a stabilizing effect on employment during economic fluctuations. Meanwhile, the leisure and hospitality sector's recovery is indicative of restored consumer confidence and spending levels.

Challenges and Opportunities

Despite the overall positive outlook, there remain areas of concern, such as the high unemployment rate among teenagers and the substantial number of individuals working part-time due to economic conditions. These issues highlight the need for targeted policy interventions, such as improved job training and education programs, especially for younger workers.

The slight increase in discouraged workers also suggests that some segments of the population are not feeling the benefits of economic recovery, possibly due to skills mismatches or geographic disparities in job availability.

Forward Outlook

Looking ahead, the labor market appears to be on a stable trajectory, but with some areas needing attention to ensure broader participation and benefits from economic growth. Employers and policymakers alike should focus on inclusive growth strategies that address the needs of the most vulnerable populations.

The next Employment Situation Summary, slated for release in early July, will be closely watched for signs of whether these trends continue, especially in terms of wage growth and labor force participation rates.

Overall, the May 2024 employment report paints a picture of a resilient U.S. job market, with ongoing opportunities tempered by challenges that need to be managed to sustain long-term economic health.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment

Comment

77 pips potential profit in 97 seconds on 3 May 2024, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 77 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 3 May 2024.

USDJPY (51 pips)

EURUSD (26 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Analyzing the April 2024 Employment Situation Summary

The latest Employment Situation Summary released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics provides a mixed bag of insights into the state of the American job market as of April 2024. Total nonfarm payroll employment saw an increase of 175,000 jobs last month, which is notably lower than the average monthly gain of 242,000 over the previous year. This deceleration in job growth may signal a more cautious approach by businesses amidst various economic pressures. However, the unemployment rate remained stable at 3.9%, suggesting a still robust labor market.

Sector-Specific Highlights

Health Care: The health care sector continued to show strong performance with 56,000 new jobs added in April. This sector's resilience is critical as it aligns with ongoing demands in health services, especially in ambulatory health care services and hospitals.

Social Assistance: This sector also saw significant growth, adding 31,000 jobs, indicating ongoing needs in community and social services. The consistent job additions in social assistance reflect the growing societal emphasis on supportive services.

Transportation and Warehousing: With a 22,000 job increase, this sector shows a modest rebound, likely driven by the ongoing shifts in consumer delivery preferences and supply chain adjustments.

Retail Trade: Notably, the retail trade has picked up momentum with a 20,000 increase in jobs, led by gains in general merchandise and building material stores. This could be an indicator of consumer confidence and spending.

Challenges and Steady Sectors

Despite these positive trends, certain sectors like construction and government showed only slight changes in employment numbers. The construction sector's small gain of 9,000 jobs suggests a slowdown possibly linked to material costs or interest rate concerns. Government employment also showed minimal change, indicating a potential plateau in public sector hiring.

Economic Indicators and Wage Analysis

A key takeaway from the report is the slight increase in average hourly earnings, up 7 cents to $34.75, representing a 3.9% increase year-over-year. This gradual wage growth indicates ongoing adjustments to inflationary pressures but could also point to cautious employer spending in salary increments.

The average workweek slightly decreased by 0.1 hours to 34.3 hours, a subtle sign that businesses might be adjusting labor hours to manage costs or productivity demands.

Looking Ahead

As we move forward, the labor market appears to be balancing cautious employer behavior with steady consumer activity. The sectors showing growth highlight areas of economic strength, while the overall slowdown in job additions could suggest a market awaiting clearer economic signals.

For policymakers and business leaders, these insights provide a nuanced perspective on workforce dynamics as they plan for potential economic shifts. For workers, the steady yet selective growth in sectors may influence decisions on skill development and job opportunities.

As we look to the next Employment Situation Summary due in June, all eyes will be on whether these trends hold steady or if new economic factors will emerge, influencing job market trajectories in mid-2024.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment

Comment

34 pips potential profit in 14 seconds on 8 March 2024, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 34 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 8 March 2024.

USDJPY (22 pips)

EURUSD (12 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Analyzing the February 2024 Employment Situation: A Closer Look

The latest Employment Situation Summary released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) provides a comprehensive overview of the labor market in February 2024. In a month that saw a mix of growth and challenges, the total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 275,000 jobs. However, the unemployment rate edged up to 3.9 percent. This post delves into the key findings from the report and what they signify for the U.S. economy.

Job Growth Across Sectors

February's job gains were notable in several sectors, indicating the economy's resilient areas. Health care led the way with 67,000 new jobs, continuing its trend of robust growth. The government sector also saw a significant increase, adding 52,000 jobs, with local and federal levels both contributing to this growth. Additionally, food services and drinking places bounced back with 42,000 jobs, and the social assistance sector added 24,000 jobs. The transportation and warehousing sector, despite recent fluctuations, increased by 20,000 jobs, showcasing some recovery in logistics and delivery services.

Unemployment and Labor Force Participation

The unemployment rate's slight increase to 3.9 percent, coupled with an addition of 334,000 unemployed individuals, signals some underlying challenges. Despite the job gains, the rise in unemployment suggests that more people are entering or re-entering the job market but not all are finding employment immediately. The labor force participation rate remained steady at 62.5 percent, indicating a stable but cautious optimism among workers.

Demographic Insights

The report provides detailed insights into unemployment rates across various demographic groups. Notably, adult women and teenagers saw an increase in unemployment rates, while rates for adult men, Whites, Blacks, Asians, and Hispanics showed little or no change. These differences underscore the uneven impacts of economic changes on different parts of the population.

Wages and Working Hours

Average hourly earnings saw a modest increase of 5 cents to $34.57, following a more substantial increase in January. This slow growth in wages, combined with a slight increase in the average workweek for all employees to 34.3 hours, suggests that while employment is growing, wage inflation might be cooling off, which could have implications for overall consumer spending and inflation.

Revisions and Forward Look

The BLS also revised the job growth figures for December and January downwards, suggesting that the job market was slightly less robust than initially thought in the closing months of the previous year. These revisions are a reminder of the volatility and unpredictability inherent in labor market data.

Conclusions

The February 2024 Employment Situation Summary paints a picture of a labor market that is still expanding but facing new challenges as it adapts to a changing economic landscape. The increase in the unemployment rate, despite significant job gains, indicates a growing workforce and potentially more people searching for better opportunities. As we look ahead, the labor market's resilience will be tested by various factors, including inflation, policy changes, and global economic trends. Stakeholders, from policymakers to businesses to individual workers, will need to stay informed and adaptable to navigate these changes successfully.

The next employment situation report, due in April, will be highly anticipated for further insights into the labor market's trajectory as we move deeper into 2024.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment

Comment

95 pips potential profit in 89 seconds on 2 February 2024, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 95 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 2 February 2024.

USDJPY (55 pips)

EURUSD (40 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Employment Situation Summary for January 2024, showing significant job growth and stable unemployment rates. Here are the key points:

  • Total Nonfarm Payroll Employment Increase: In January, there was an increase of 353,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 3.7 percent. This continues the trend of job growth across various sectors, notably in professional and business services, health care, retail trade, and social assistance. However, there was a decline in employment within the mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction industry.

  • Household Survey Data: The unemployment rate remained constant at 3.7 percent for the third consecutive month, with the number of unemployed individuals slightly changing to 6.1 million. Unemployment rates among major worker groups, including adult men, women, teenagers, Whites, Blacks, Asians, and Hispanics, showed minimal or no change in January. Long-term unemployment (jobless for 27 weeks or more) also remained stable, accounting for 20.8 percent of the unemployed.

  • Labor Force Participation: The labor force participation rate was unchanged at 62.5 percent, and the employment-population ratio slightly varied at 60.2 percent, indicating little to no change over the year. Additionally, 4.4 million individuals were employed part-time for economic reasons, with the number of people not in the labor force but wanting a job remaining at 5.8 million.

  • Establishment Survey Data: Job gains were observed in several sectors, with professional and business services adding 74,000 jobs, health care employment rising by 70,000, and retail trade employment increasing by 45,000. However, the mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction industry saw a decrease in employment by 5,000.

  • Earnings and Workweek: Average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 19 cents to $34.55, marking a 4.5 percent increase over the past 12 months. The average workweek for all employees decreased by 0.2 hour to 34.1 hours in January.

  • Revisions: The employment figures for November and December were revised, showing that employment was 126,000 higher than previously reported. The next Employment Situation release is scheduled for March 8, 2024.

This report reflects a robust job market, with significant employment gains in various sectors and stable unemployment rates, contributing to the overall health of the U.S. economy.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment

Comment

74 pips potential profit in 62 seconds on 5 January 2024, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 74 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 5 January 2024.

USDJPY (50 pips)

EURUSD (24 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

The December 2023 Employment Situation Summary, released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, presents a comprehensive overview of the United States labor market for that month. Key points include:

  1. Nonfarm Payroll Employment Increase: There was an increase of 216,000 jobs, with notable growth in government, health care, social assistance, and construction sectors. However, there were job losses in transportation and warehousing.

  2. Stable Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate remained constant at 3.7 percent.

  3. Unemployment Statistics by Group: Unemployment rates for various demographic groups, including adult men and women, teenagers, and different ethnic groups, showed little change.

  4. Long-term Unemployment: The count of long-term unemployed people (jobless for 27 weeks or more) stood at 1.2 million, making up 19.7 percent of all unemployed persons.

  5. Labor Force Participation: Both the labor force participation rate and the employment-population ratio saw a minor decrease of 0.3 percentage points.

  6. Part-Time and Marginal Employment: About 4.2 million individuals were employed part-time for economic reasons. There was a slight increase in the number of people not in the labor force who wanted a job, reaching 5.7 million.

  7. Sector-Specific Employment Trends: Increases in employment were observed in local and federal government, health care, and construction. On the other hand, transportation and warehousing sectors experienced a decline.

  8. Earnings and Work Hours: Average hourly earnings rose by 15 cents, with a year-over-year increase of 4.1 percent. The average workweek for all employees decreased slightly.

  9. Data Revisions: The report included downward revisions for job gains in October and November, with a combined reduction of 71,000 jobs from previous estimates.

Overall, the report indicates a continued increase in employment across several sectors with a stable unemployment rate, offering a detailed snapshot of the U.S. labor market as of December 2023.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment

Comment

35 pips potential profit in 61 seconds on 8 December 2023, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 35 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 8 December 2023.

USDJPY (23 pips)

EURUSD (12 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

The Employment Situation Summary for November 2023, released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), provides key insights into the labor market. Here are the highlights:

Household Survey Data:

  1. Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate decreased to 3.7 percent, with 199,000 new jobs added in November.

  2. Demographic Unemployment Rates:

    • Teenagers: 11.4 percent (down in November).

    • Adult men: 3.7 percent.

    • Adult women: 3.1 percent.

    • Whites: 3.3 percent.

    • Blacks: 5.8 percent.

    • Asians: 3.5 percent.

    • Hispanics: 4.6 percent.

  3. Long-Term Unemployment: The number of long-term unemployed (jobless for 27 weeks or more) decreased to 1.2 million, accounting for 18.3 percent of all unemployed persons.

  4. Labor Force Participation: The employment-population ratio increased to 60.5 percent. The labor force participation rate was little changed at 62.8 percent.

  5. Part-Time Employment: The number of persons employed part-time for economic reasons decreased by 295,000 to 4.0 million in November.

  6. Persons Not in the Labor Force: The number of persons not in the labor force who wanted a job was 5.3 million, little different from the prior month.

Establishment Survey Data:

  1. Nonfarm Payroll Employment: Increased by 199,000 in November, with job gains in health care, government, and manufacturing. Retail trade employment declined.

  2. Industry-Specific Employment:

    • Health care: +77,000 jobs.

    • Government: +49,000 jobs.

    • Manufacturing: +28,000 jobs (reflecting the return of workers from a strike).

    • Retail trade: -38,000 jobs.

    • Leisure and hospitality: +40,000 jobs.

    • Social assistance: +16,000 jobs.

    • Information: +10,000 jobs (motion picture and sound recording industries added 17,000 jobs).

    • Transportation and warehousing: Little change.

    • Other major industries: Little change.

  3. Average Hourly Earnings: Rose by 12 cents (0.4 percent) to $34.10 for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings increased by 4.0 percent.

  4. Average Workweek: Edged up by 0.1 hour to 34.4 hours for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls.

  5. Revisions: The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for September was revised down by 35,000, and the change for October remained at +150,000. Combined, employment in September and October is 35,000 lower than previously reported.

The next Employment Situation report for December is scheduled for release on Friday, January 5, 2024, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Comment