According to our analysis there was a potential of 217 pips/ticks, US30 300 points and BTC 1018 points profit out of the following 5 events in January 2025. The potential performance in 2024 was 4,305 pips / ticks.

• US Jobless Claims (28 pips / 2 January 2025)

• US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLT) (25 pips / 7 January 2025)

• US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) (35 pips, US30 210 points / 10 January 2025)

• USDA WASDE / USDA Grain Stocks (104 ticks / 10 January 2025)

• US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) (25 pips, US30 90 points, BTC 1018 points / 15 January 2025)

Total trading time would have been around 10 minutes! (preparation time not included)

January 2025: Key Market Events Recap and Trading Insights

January 2025 saw several critical economic releases that influenced financial markets. Below is a recap of key events and their implications for traders.

1. US Jobless Claims (2 January 2025)

Impact: 28 pips

The jobless claims report indicated labor market resilience with a modest decline in initial claims. This reinforced confidence in the job market and set the tone for early trading trends in the year.

2. US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) (7 January 2025)

Impact: 25 pips

The JOLTS report showed steady job openings but a decline in voluntary quits, suggesting cautious worker sentiment. This data played a role in shaping market expectations about economic stability and potential shifts in hiring trends.

3. US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls / NFP) (10 January 2025)

Impact: 35 pips, US30: 210 points

The NFP report exceeded expectations, driving volatility in forex and equity markets. Strong job growth supported risk assets initially, but concerns over inflationary wage pressures created mixed reactions.

4. USDA WASDE / USDA Grain Stocks (10 January 2025)

Impact: 104 ticks

The WASDE and Grain Stocks report revealed shifts in supply-demand dynamics. Lower corn and soybean supplies provided bullish support to agricultural commodities, while rising wheat stocks capped price gains in that sector.

5. US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) (15 January 2025)

Impact: 25 pips, US30: 90 points, BTC: 1018 points

The CPI report showed core inflation cooling slightly, prompting traders to reassess Federal Reserve policy expectations. This led to a decline in Treasury yields, a short-lived rally in equities, and increased volatility in BTC.

Market Reactions and Takeaways:

• Forex: USD pairs experienced significant swings, with CPI and NFP driving directional moves.

• Indices: US30 faced volatility but rebounded as markets reassessed Fed policy expectations.

• Commodities: Corn and soybeans gained on tighter supplies, while wheat remained range-bound due to higher stock levels.

• Crypto: BTC saw sharp price movements, influenced by shifting inflation expectations and macroeconomic sentiment.

Looking Ahead:

As traders navigate 2025, key areas to watch include ongoing labor market trends, Fed policy decisions, and commodity supply shifts. Staying informed and agile will be crucial in capitalizing on market movements and managing risk effectively.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

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